WinningPicksBlog › Jul 31, 2026

MLB Picks for Jul 31, 2026 — Verified ROI Tracking

Published Friday, July 31, 2026 · 4 picks · MLB
Currently 157-121 (56.5%) verified across 306 picks. Every pick is logged with the line, model probability, and result.

⚾ MLB Picks · Friday, July 31, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates ML

STRONG

vs Cincinnati Reds · 01:10 AM · Pitchers: Paul Skenes vs Hunter Greene

Paul Skenes (3.65 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) facing Hunter Greene who has a 7.06 ERA in limited work. Pirates have strong pitcher and composite scores (79/59) vs Reds weak scores (42/45).

Line: -126 Model: 60.2% Edge: +6.5% Stake: 1u

Washington Nationals ML

STRONG

vs Atlanta Braves · 02:15 AM · Pitchers: Foster Griffin vs Bryce Elder

Foster Griffin has elite 2.76 ERA and 1.03 WHIP facing Bryce Elder's 3.96 ERA. Nationals have superior composite score (63 vs 53) and pitcher score (81 vs 61) with good value at +106.

Line: +106 Model: 56.5% Edge: +9.7% Stake: 1u

Milwaukee Brewers ML

STRONG

vs Los Angeles Angels · 04:38 AM · Pitchers: Shane Drohan vs Ryan Johnson

Ryan Johnson has a 7.34 ERA and 1.54 WHIP for Angels while Drohan is solid at 3.51 ERA. Brewers have better composite (55 vs 41) and pitcher scores (64 vs 20).

Line: -162 Model: 61.0% Edge: +1.6% Stake: 1u

Detroit Tigers ML

STRONG

vs Athletics · 04:40 AM · Pitchers: Casey Mize vs Jeffrey Springs

Casey Mize has excellent 2.70 ERA and 0.99 WHIP facing Jeffrey Springs' 6.23 ERA. Tigers have elite pitcher score (86) and model shows value despite being favorites at -162.

Line: -162 Model: 53.5% Edge: +5.8% Stake: 1u

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