vs Houston Astros · 01:45 AM · Pitchers: Mike Burrows vs Miles Mikolas
Mike Burrows has a 5.58 ERA and 1.51 WHIP facing a Nationals offense rated 66. Washington's composite score (57) significantly outpaces Houston (45), and the ML is in the optimal -120 range.
vs New York Mets · 02:15 AM · Pitchers: Freddy Peralta vs Reynaldo López
Freddy Peralta has a 4.81 ERA facing a strong Braves team (composite 58 vs Mets 40). Atlanta has superior pitching (66) and recent momentum, with ML at favorable -130.
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 04:45 AM · Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs Landen Roupp
Kevin Gausman (4.19 ERA) faces Roupp (4.55 ERA), but Giants have home field and better composite score (50 vs 43). Model shows 8.5% edge at near pick'em odds of -106.
vs Kansas City Royals · 09:10 PM · Pitchers: Cristopher Sánchez vs Noah Cameron
Cristopher Sánchez has elite numbers (2.00 ERA, 1.09 WHIP) facing Noah Cameron (4.95 ERA, 1.41 WHIP). 2.95 ERA difference qualifies as clear starter quality gap, and Phillies composite (50) edges Royals (43).
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